I’m trying to keep my mind open here at the Consumer Electronics Show. You are so inclined at something like this to make what you are seeing fit into your preconceived beliefs. You can see anything you want, if you look hard enough.
But so far I’m not sure I know exactly what the show is trying to tell me.
We have seen a lot of really thin things. Greg (@smomashup) got a forbidden picture of a new Samsung super thin TV. Pictures and videos were strictly forbidden.

And here is a video I shot of a presentation Intel did on the new super thin Ultrabooks. This particular video is of a prototype where the goal is to make notebooks you can interact with through touch, mouse and sensor.
While I’m as impressed by this stuff just as much as the next person, I’m not sure thin is changing our world. It’s just making it cooler.
I think maybe what is changing our world is Apps.
You can now download apps for your i-devices, Androids, Chrome browser and now the Windows smart-phone and you will be able to download apps for Windows 8.
This is signficant for a variety of reasons.
1. It continues the process of decentralizing the world. Many, many developers can fairly easily create an application and then sell it on the marketplace of the specific device. The marketplaces are key to this. Developers have always had to struggle to find an audience for their software. Now the center of buying these apps is in one location.
2. These apps scale from small smartphone size to large tablets and now, with Windows 8, full size monitors. This makes scaling designs much more challenging. If you are a designer and your sole focus is making sure your site looks pretty on a full sized monitor, you are out of touch with where the world is going. Web design needs to look good on all sizes and all environments. It’s much trickier than it used to be.
3. Most importantly, designing strictly for a keyboard and mouse environment is outdated methodology. The next generation of your site will need to be much more app oriented. Thinking about how a person could easily navigate through your site using their fingers will be critical.
4. Consumers are going to begin to seriously ask if they can do most of their computing on a tablet. While I don’t think we are going to see the demise of the PC anytime soon, there are more options than ever on how to interact with the Web and information.
5. The platform of the future is open game. I don’t feel totally confident that Microsoft will be able to pull this transition off. Android, Ubuntu, iOS, WebOS, Chrome OS. There are many people in the hunt to be the operating system of choice. They are also intensely aggressive. I don’t know that Microsoft has that same intensity. They are working hard. And I like what I see. But I feel like they might have missed the initiative here and it might be hard for them to make up lost ground.
What does this mean to you?
As a consumer it means nothing. Just have fun and do what you do.
As a business it’s a whole different story. You are living in a great, but uncertain time, in the history of computing. Things are changing and morphing in more extreme ways than ever before.
You are entering into a completely new era of cloud computing, new ways to buy and sell software, potentially thinking of your online presence more as an interactive app than a static Web site (no, having video and Flash does not make your site dynamic. It’s still static.) This is going to require flexibility, testing and optimism.
At his keynote, Steve Ballmer was asked what he thought the future of Microsoft was going to be for 2012. He emphatically shouted: “Windows, Windows, Windows, Metro, Metro, Metro.” Metro is Microsoft’s new people focused layout for Windows 8. One of those is the past. And one of those is the future. He was hedging his bets. That is potentially dangerous because so many other operating system companies are betting everything on their new OS. That makes them more intense, focused and aggressive.
You will need to experiment in these other areas and think about how your company potentially could fit in here. Ask yourself, “What if this was the leading operating system? How would we look in here?”
It’s exciting but also trecherous. This is a transformative era that will require us all to be agile and quick. Not doing so could leave us vulnerable to our competitors who get it better than we do.












